Soccer League Round 1

Waterloo vs Niagara United analysis

Waterloo Niagara United
58 ELO 55
2% Tilt 8.8%
21818º General ELO ranking 21860º
26º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
56%
Waterloo
22.7%
Draw
21.3%
Niagara United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
Waterloo
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.3%
Win probability
Niagara United
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Waterloo
-8%
-7%
Niagara United

ELO progression

Waterloo
Niagara United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Waterloo
Waterloo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2012
WAT
Waterloo
4 - 0
St. Catharine Wolves
SCW
77%
15%
9%
57 35 22 0
01 Oct. 2012
WAT
Waterloo
1 - 0
SC Toronto
SCT
31%
26%
42%
56 64 8 +1
24 Sep. 2012
WAT
Waterloo
2 - 3
Niagara United
NIA
61%
22%
17%
57 51 6 -1
22 Sep. 2012
WIN
Windsor Stars
3 - 1
Waterloo
WAT
41%
25%
34%
59 55 4 -2
17 Sep. 2012
SHO
York Region Shooters
1 - 1
Waterloo
WAT
54%
24%
22%
59 62 3 0

Matches

Niagara United
Niagara United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2013
LON
Hamilton City
0 - 0
Niagara United
NIA
47%
23%
31%
55 49 6 0
15 Oct. 2012
TCR
Toronto Croatia
2 - 0
Niagara United
NIA
69%
20%
12%
54 67 13 +1
07 Oct. 2012
NIA
Niagara United
4 - 1
Brampton United
BRA
41%
25%
35%
53 53 0 +1
29 Sep. 2012
MIS
Mississauga Eagles
1 - 3
Niagara United
NIA
52%
23%
25%
52 52 0 +1
24 Sep. 2012
WAT
Waterloo
2 - 3
Niagara United
NIA
61%
22%
17%
51 57 6 +1