Waterhouse vs Harbour View analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 2
WAT
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
WAT
0 - 1
TRI
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UWI
1 - 0
WAT
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
WAT
0 - 0
MON
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LIO
0 - 2
WAT
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Harbour View
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
RIV
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
HAR
39%
29%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 1
CAV
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 1
HAR
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
HAR
5 - 0
UWI
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |