Waterhouse vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
WAT
37%
31%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
WAT
3 - 1
BOY
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
HIG
0 - 0
WAT
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
WAT
41%
31%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 0
TRI
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
CAV
1 - 2
SAV
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 1
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BOY
2 - 0
CAV
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |