Premier League Promotion Playoffs Final

Waterford United vs Cork City analysis

Waterford United Cork City
70 ELO 59
17.8% Tilt 10.6%
791º General ELO ranking 1844º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
66.4%
Waterford United
18.5%
Draw
15.1%
Cork City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
Waterford United
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.1%
Win probability
Cork City
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Waterford United
+4%
+10%
Cork City

ELO progression

Waterford United
Cork City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Waterford United
Waterford United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
WAT
Waterford United
2 - 1
Cobh Ramblers
COB
73%
17%
10%
69 56 13 0
28 Oct. 2023
WAT
Waterford United
3 - 1
Athlone Town
ATH
79%
14%
7%
68 49 19 +1
24 Oct. 2023
ATH
Athlone Town
1 - 1
Waterford United
WAT
14%
21%
65%
68 49 19 0
20 Oct. 2023
WAT
Waterford United
2 - 0
Treaty United
TRE
78%
15%
7%
68 52 16 0
14 Oct. 2023
KEF
Kerry FC
1 - 1
Waterford United
WAT
11%
18%
71%
67 8 59 +1

Matches

Cork City
Cork City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2023
BOH
Bohemian FC
4 - 0
Cork City
CAO
73%
17%
10%
60 72 12 0
30 Oct. 2023
CAO
Cork City
0 - 0
Shamrock Rovers
SHR
18%
27%
55%
60 77 17 0
27 Oct. 2023
CAO
Cork City
0 - 1
Derry City
DER
16%
26%
58%
60 77 17 0
22 Oct. 2023
UCD
UC Dublin
0 - 2
Cork City
CAO
24%
24%
53%
59 46 13 +1
08 Oct. 2023
CAO
Cork City
0 - 2
St Patrick's
STP
22%
24%
54%
60 72 12 -1
X