Warsage vs Aubel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
60.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warsage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
WAR
1 - 3
JSF
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 0
WAR
77%
14%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
HOM
1 - 4
WAR
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
WAR
3 - 2
FLE
66%
18%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
JSF
0 - 5
WAR
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Aubel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RAU
1 - 0
LIE
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
HOM
1 - 3
RAU
13%
16%
71%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RAU
0 - 0
XHO
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
RAE
3 - 4
RAU
68%
17%
16%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LIE
1 - 0
RAU
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |