Warnant vs Amay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warnant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ENT
0 - 3
WAR
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 1
RAE
48%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 0
WAR
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WEY
1 - 2
WAR
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ELS
1 - 2
WAR
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Amay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 3
PAT
13%
19%
69%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 2
AMA
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
STA
2 - 1
AMA
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 1
ESP
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 2
ENT
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |