Third Division ACFF Round 1

Waremme vs Ganshoren analysis

Waremme Ganshoren
37 ELO 48
16.3% Tilt 11.9%
9686º General ELO ranking 4122º
251º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
22.4%
Waremme
22.7%
Draw
54.9%
Ganshoren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
Waremme
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.9%
Win probability
Ganshoren
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Waremme
-4%
-25%
Ganshoren

Points and table prediction

Waremme
Their league position
Ganshoren
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
18º
18º
44
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Warnant
72
73
100%
Union Namur
59
62
79%
La Louvière Centre
56
62
60%
Tubize
58
59
44.5%
Meux
56
57
74%
Binche
55
55
100%
Verlaine
51
51
30.5%
Rebecq
50
51
31%
Stockay-Warfusée
50
51
30.5%
Stade Disonais
10º
47
48
10º
54%
Hamoir
11º
45
46
11º
65.5%
Ganshoren
12º
44
44
12º
0%
Acren Lessines
13º
44
44
13º
0%
Union Saint-Gilloise II
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Jette
15º
32
32
15º
91.5%
Solières Sport
16º
31
31
16º
91.5%
Seraing B
17º
24
25
17º
100%
Waremme
18º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Waremme
Ganshoren
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Waremme
Ganshoren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Waremme
Waremme
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2022
WAR
Waremme
0 - 2
Ganshoren
GAN
27%
23%
50%
38 48 10 0
07 Aug. 2022
WAR
Waremme
2 - 1
Vaux-Noville
VAU
72%
16%
12%
38 28 10 0
01 May. 2022
MEU
Meux
3 - 1
Waremme
WAR
82%
12%
6%
38 55 17 0
24 Apr. 2022
WAR
Waremme
1 - 2
Warnant
WAR
22%
24%
54%
39 52 13 -1
10 Apr. 2022
HAM
Hamoir
1 - 3
Waremme
WAR
68%
18%
14%
37 47 10 +2

Matches

Ganshoren
Ganshoren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2022
PAT
Patro Eisden
3 - 2
Ganshoren
GAN
34%
26%
41%
49 48 1 0
14 Aug. 2022
WAR
Waremme
0 - 2
Ganshoren
GAN
27%
23%
50%
48 38 10 +1
07 Aug. 2022
GAN
Ganshoren
2 - 1
Léopold Uccle-Woluwé
LEO
63%
21%
17%
48 38 10 0
01 May. 2022
SOL
Solières Sport
2 - 2
Ganshoren
GAN
42%
24%
33%
48 46 2 0
24 Apr. 2022
GAN
Ganshoren
4 - 0
Couvin-Mariembourg
COU
64%
21%
16%
48 38 10 0