Ware vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MAL
2 - 3
WAR
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
WAL
0 - 2
WAR
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
WAR
2 - 0
BRE
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
WAR
0 - 3
CAN
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
WIN
2 - 2
WAR
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
WIN
2 - 3
CAN
26%
27%
48%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
POT
1 - 0
WIN
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
WIN
0 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
WIN
0 - 2
WIV
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
WIN
2 - 2
WAR
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |