Non League Div One Isthmian North Round 30

Ware vs Wingate & Finchley analysis

Ware Wingate & Finchley
46 ELO 30
9.6% Tilt 14.5%
8702º General ELO ranking 7056º
399º Country ELO ranking 271º
ELO win probability
76%
Ware
15.5%
Draw
8.5%
Wingate & Finchley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
Ware
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.5%
Win probability
Wingate & Finchley
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ware
-5%
-32%
Wingate & Finchley

ELO progression

Ware
Wingate & Finchley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ware
Ware
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2008
MAL
Maldon & Tiptree
2 - 3
Ware
WAR
35%
25%
41%
45 40 5 0
09 Feb. 2008
WAL
Walthamstow
0 - 2
Ware
WAR
16%
21%
63%
45 26 19 0
02 Feb. 2008
WAR
Ware
2 - 0
Brentwood Town
BRE
66%
19%
15%
44 36 8 +1
26 Jan. 2008
WAR
Ware
0 - 3
Canvey Island
CAN
58%
22%
20%
46 42 4 -2
22 Jan. 2008
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
2 - 2
Ware
WAR
23%
23%
54%
46 34 12 0

Matches

Wingate & Finchley
Wingate & Finchley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2008
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
2 - 3
Canvey Island
CAN
26%
27%
48%
31 45 14 0
09 Feb. 2008
POT
Potters Bar Town
1 - 0
Wingate & Finchley
WIN
38%
26%
36%
33 26 7 -2
02 Feb. 2008
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
0 - 1
Great Wakering Rovers
GRE
44%
26%
30%
34 36 2 -1
26 Jan. 2008
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
0 - 2
Wivenhoe Town FC
WIV
69%
19%
12%
35 25 10 -1
22 Jan. 2008
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
2 - 2
Ware
WAR
23%
23%
54%
34 46 12 +1