Ware vs Whitehawk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
POT
4 - 0
WAR
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
WAR
2 - 0
WAL
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
WAR
1 - 2
ILF
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
EAS
3 - 0
WAR
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
WAR
1 - 0
TIL
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Whitehawk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
WOR
0 - 0
WHI
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
WHI
6 - 0
BUR
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LEA
2 - 1
WHI
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
WHI
3 - 0
TOW
74%
17%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
WHI
1 - 1
MER
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |