Ware vs Takeley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
12.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 4
ROY
23%
22%
55%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
WAR
5 - 1
HEN
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
WAR
3 - 2
CHM
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
WAR
0 - 2
BAS
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
WAR
8 - 0
HOD
75%
14%
11%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Takeley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CLA
2 - 4
TAK
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
TAK
1 - 0
ESS
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
STA
3 - 2
TAK
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TAK
0 - 1
POT
19%
20%
62%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
WEN
2 - 3
TAK
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |