Ware vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
WAR
2 - 0
WAL
48%
25%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ILF
1 - 1
WAR
23%
24%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 4
WAR
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
WAR
1 - 2
HOR
16%
22%
61%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
WAR
1 - 1
MAL
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
WIV
0 - 3
DAR
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
DAR
2 - 2
MAL
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MET
4 - 3
DAR
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
DAR
0 - 0
WAL
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
HAS
1 - 2
DAR
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |