Ware vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SOH
0 - 2
WAR
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 0
TIL
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ERI
2 - 6
WAR
19%
20%
62%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
WAR
3 - 0
YEL
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +3 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
WAR
2 - 1
MAL
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 2
HEY
19%
22%
60%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
AVE
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 3
DER
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 3
WHI
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 2
VCD
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |