Walter Ormeño vs Alfonso Ugarte de Puno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ormeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
WAL
4 - 0
ATL
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LOS
2 - 0
WAL
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 0
MUN
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
WAL
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 0
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 0
LOS
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 1
ALF
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 0
SPO
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 1
ALF
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 1
AUN
27%
28%
46%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +2 |