Walsall vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1899 |
GRI
4 - 2
WAL
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1899 |
WAL
2 - 1
NEW
44%
23%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1899 |
BIR
3 - 2
WAL
67%
18%
15%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1899 |
WAL
0 - 1
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1899 |
LUT
4 - 0
WAL
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1899 |
ARS
1 - 0
POR
64%
20%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1899 |
LUT
1 - 2
ARS
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1899 |
ARS
0 - 2
LEI
41%
23%
37%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1899 |
BOL
1 - 0
ARS
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1899 |
ARS
2 - 1
GAI
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |