New Zealand National League Central. Jor. 17

Wairarapa United vs North Wellington AFC analysis

Wairarapa United North Wellington AFC
24 ELO 22
9.2% Tilt 12.6%
29782º General ELO ranking 15707º
103º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
59.2%
Wairarapa United
18.5%
Draw
22.3%
North Wellington AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
Wairarapa United
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
22.3%
Win probability
North Wellington AFC
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Wairarapa United
North Wellington AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wairarapa United
Wairarapa United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2021
WAF
Wainuiomata
1 - 1
Wairarapa United
WAI
4%
9%
87%
26 5 21 0
25 Jul. 2021
NAP
Napier City Rovers
2 - 3
Wairarapa United
WAI
68%
16%
16%
25 28 3 +1
17 Jul. 2021
WAI
Wairarapa United
0 - 5
Miramar
MIR
8%
14%
78%
26 51 25 -1
03 Jul. 2021
WAI
Wairarapa United
1 - 1
Waterside Karori
WKA
61%
18%
20%
26 23 3 0
27 Jun. 2021
WSU
Western Suburbs
2 - 2
Wairarapa United
WAI
72%
16%
12%
26 38 12 0

Matches

North Wellington AFC
North Wellington AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2021
LHC
Lower Hutt City
3 - 1
North Wellington AFC
NWA
80%
12%
8%
23 37 14 0
24 Jul. 2021
WKA
Waterside Karori
0 - 3
North Wellington AFC
NWA
48%
21%
32%
22 22 0 +1
03 Jul. 2021
NWA
North Wellington AFC
2 - 3
Western Suburbs
WSU
17%
18%
66%
23 38 15 -1
26 Jun. 2021
MIR
Miramar
5 - 2
North Wellington AFC
NWA
91%
7%
2%
23 51 28 0
19 Jun. 2021
MIR
Miramar
4 - 1
North Wellington AFC
NWA
82%
12%
7%
24 51 27 -1
X