Walthamstow vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
17º
4º
58
5º
20º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
98.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walthamstow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 3
WAL
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 1
AYL
62%
19%
18%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BFC
0 - 0
WAL
67%
18%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 4
HAD
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 0
DID
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
CIR
2 - 0
DID
69%
17%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
3 - 4
CIR
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CIR
3 - 0
FCR
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
BER
3 - 2
CIR
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SWI
3 - 0
CIR
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |