W Connection vs Prison Service analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
10º
9º
12
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 56 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 54 |
2º
|
52% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 0
CON
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
CUN
68%
19%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CUN
0 - 3
CON
26%
24%
49%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CON
1 - 3
ATH
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
PSE
1 - 0
CON
6%
14%
79%
|
58 | 19 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Prison Service
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
CUN
0 - 2
PSE
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
PSE
0 - 3
CEN
8%
17%
75%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 0
PSE
91%
7%
2%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PSE
1 - 1
CUN
9%
18%
72%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
PSE
1 - 0
CON
6%
14%
79%
|
19 | 58 | 39 | +1 |