W Connection vs Joe Public FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
CON
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 4
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
CHI
3 - 0
CON
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -5 |
| 13 Feb. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
CHI
16%
21%
63%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 1
CON
48%
23%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
JOE
3 - 0
DEF
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
JOE
2 - 2
UPT
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
CON
3 - 1
JOE
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
CAL
2 - 4
JOE
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
JOE
1 - 0
ANN
45%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |