W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
CON
7 - 0
POI
60%
21%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
PUM
8 - 1
CON
81%
14%
6%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 2
POL
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
DEF
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CEN
4 - 1
DEF
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 2
ANN
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
CAL
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |