W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CON
4 - 0
ECM
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
STA
0 - 3
CON
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
CEN
48%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
POL
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
CAL
4 - 1
ECM
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 0
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 3
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |