W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
TBU
0 - 2
CON
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
STA
0 - 2
CON
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
CON
4 - 0
POL
75%
16%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
JOE
1 - 1
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAL
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
POL
0 - 1
CAL
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 0
NOR
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
PAU
2 - 0
CAL
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 2
SEN
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |