National Third Division Round 15

Vyzas Megara vs Apollon Parga analysis

Vyzas Megara Apollon Parga
45 ELO 26
-4.8% Tilt -6.3%
22552º General ELO ranking 50218º
153º Country ELO ranking 531º
ELO win probability
83.5%
Vyzas Megara
11%
Draw
5.5%
Apollon Parga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
Vyzas Megara
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.5%
Win probability
Apollon Parga
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tilikratis
59
60
100%
Ypatou
55
58
71%
Panelefsiniakos
57
57
71%
Fikis
43
44
100%
Trikala
40
41
68.5%
39
40
26%
Asteras Petriti
38
38
57.5%
AE Lefkimmi
36
37
32.5%
Zakynthos
33
36
75%
Panagriniakos
10º
25
26
10º
93.5%
Apollon Parga
11º
23
23
11º
93.5%
Digenis Neochori
12º
19
20
12º
100%
Chalkis
13º
14
14
13º
100%
Nafpaktiakos Asteras
14º
9
10
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vyzas Megara
Apollon Parga
0% 0%
0% 0%
0% 100%

ELO progression

Vyzas Megara
Apollon Parga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vyzas Megara
Vyzas Megara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2023
VYZ
Vyzas Megara
2 - 1
AE Lefkimmi
AEL
72%
18%
10%
44 35 9 0
12 Feb. 2023
POF
Fikis
0 - 0
Vyzas Megara
VYZ
22%
24%
54%
45 34 11 -1
04 Feb. 2023
NAF
Nafpaktiakos Asteras
0 - 4
Vyzas Megara
VYZ
12%
18%
70%
44 26 18 +1
29 Jan. 2023
TRI
Trikala
0 - 1
Vyzas Megara
VYZ
16%
20%
64%
44 30 14 0
22 Jan. 2023
VYZ
Vyzas Megara
0 - 2
Asteras Petriti
AST
75%
15%
11%
45 32 13 -1

Matches

Apollon Parga
Apollon Parga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
ASA
Apollon Parga
0 - 2
Tilikratis
TIL
19%
21%
60%
26 44 18 0
04 Feb. 2023
POF
Fikis
2 - 1
Apollon Parga
ASA
62%
20%
18%
27 35 8 -1
29 Jan. 2023
ASA
Apollon Parga
2 - 0
AE Lefkimmi
AEL
22%
22%
56%
24 38 14 +3
22 Jan. 2023
NAF
Nafpaktiakos Asteras
0 - 1
Apollon Parga
ASA
59%
21%
21%
23 27 4 +1
15 Jan. 2023
ASA
Apollon Parga
3 - 1
Trikala
TRI
22%
23%
55%
20 32 12 +3