VVOG vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
19.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
VVO
0 - 0
ZWO
6%
12%
81%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
STE
2 - 0
VVO
30%
24%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
VVO
1 - 5
ODI
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
RIJ
1 - 1
VVO
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
VVO
4 - 1
HAR
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
GEM
9 - 1
GES
77%
14%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CHE
2 - 1
GEM
33%
21%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GEM
1 - 1
BLA
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RKA
0 - 3
GEM
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GEM
1 - 3
NUE
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |