VVOG vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
VVO
0 - 3
PKC
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GOA
6 - 1
VVO
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
VVO
1 - 1
ACV
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
STA
2 - 1
VVO
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
VVO
0 - 2
ONS
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
HHC
5 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 4
FLE
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
PKC
2 - 2
EXC
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 0
GOA
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ACV
0 - 1
EXC
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |