Winsum vs Leeuwarder Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
8º
6º
27
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TFE
2 - 4
WIN
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WIN
0 - 1
ORA
16%
19%
66%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BRO
4 - 3
WIN
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PKC
5 - 3
WIN
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 3
BLA
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 1
VVG
65%
18%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FVC
0 - 1
LEE
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 4
DRA
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LEE
3 - 3
HOO
22%
19%
59%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LEE
5 - 0
TFE
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |