Winsum vs Balk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 2
ZMV
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 1
WIN
28%
22%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WIN
4 - 2
VVG
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ORA
4 - 0
WIN
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
NOO
1 - 2
WIN
39%
21%
40%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 0
BRO
50%
22%
27%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
VVG
1 - 3
BAL
32%
22%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 2
ORA
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SVB
0 - 0
BAL
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
DRA
0 - 3
BAL
70%
17%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |