Gorecht vs Drachtster Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
42.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
14º
10º
25
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
70.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gorecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FVC
2 - 2
GOR
17%
18%
66%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TFE
0 - 1
GOR
14%
17%
69%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 1
BRO
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 3
GOR
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 2
BLA
10%
14%
76%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Drachtster Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DRA
3 - 2
PEL
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 0
HOO
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FVC
0 - 0
DRA
21%
20%
60%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 2
TFE
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 4
DRA
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |