VV Dos vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
14.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VV Dos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
AJA
3 - 2
VVD
71%
16%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
VVD
3 - 3
MVV
75%
15%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
GRO
3 - 0
VVD
39%
23%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
VVD
2 - 2
DWS
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ENS
3 - 4
VVD
40%
23%
37%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
WIL
0 - 1
SPA
55%
21%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
DVO
2 - 1
WIL
48%
22%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
WIL
2 - 2
ADO
59%
19%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
VVV
2 - 4
WIL
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
WIL
1 - 2
PSV
42%
22%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |