Vukovar '91 vs NK Rudes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
8º
2º
64
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HDR
0 - 1
VUK
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VUK
3 - 0
KUS
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ZMI
1 - 2
VUK
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NKD
0 - 1
VUK
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VUK
0 - 0
NKD
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
NK Rudes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
SLA
2 - 0
RUD
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RUD
2 - 0
SOL
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RUD
3 - 0
HDR
75%
16%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SKN
3 - 0
RUD
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RAD
3 - 3
RUD
43%
23%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |