VPS Vaasa vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
3º
20
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
HAK
2 - 2
VAA
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
SJK
0 - 11
VAA
4%
9%
87%
|
62 | 16 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
OUL
2 - 1
VAA
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
VAA
2 - 1
IFK
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 0
HON
30%
27%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 1
HJK
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
NOK
1 - 5
ILV
9%
15%
76%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 0
ILV
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 2
OUL
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 0
KOO
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |