VPS Vaasa vs IFK Mariehamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
3º
15
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 0
HON
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TER
0 - 2
VAA
4%
8%
89%
|
64 | 21 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
4 - 0
VAA
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 1
HJK
26%
28%
47%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 0
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 2
KUO
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
KOI
1 - 4
IFK
10%
16%
75%
|
59 | 19 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KOO
2 - 1
IFK
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
2 - 3
FCL
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 1
ILV
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |