VPS Vaasa vs FC Honka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
3º
35
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
96.5% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TER
0 - 2
VAA
4%
8%
88%
|
64 | 21 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
4 - 0
VAA
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 1
HJK
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 0
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
VAA
1 - 1
FFJ
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
HAK
1 - 1
HON
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 1
HON
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HON
0 - 0
SEI
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KOO
0 - 4
HON
22%
23%
55%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 0
HON
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |