Votuporanguense vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Votuporanguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
VOT
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VOT
3 - 2
OLI
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
VOT
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VOT
2 - 1
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PEN
4 - 0
VOT
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
RBB
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 1
SJS
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
AGU
31%
23%
46%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAC
78%
16%
7%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | +2 |