Paulista A3 Etapas Finales. Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Votuporanguense vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Votuporanguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DES
0 - 0
VOT
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VOT
2 - 1
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
VOT
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
VOT
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VOT
3 - 1
LEM
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DES
0 - 0
VOT
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
0 - 1
DES
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DES
0 - 1
CAT
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
DES
1 - 0
BAN
54%
24%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
DES
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |