Oberliga Hamburg Round 15

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs TSV Sasel analysis

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 TSV Sasel
34 ELO 41
35% Tilt 23.2%
5940º General ELO ranking 6004º
301º Country ELO ranking 305º
ELO win probability
39.4%
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
20.9%
Draw
39.7%
TSV Sasel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
39.7%
Win probability
TSV Sasel
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
+61%
-23%
TSV Sasel

Points and table prediction

Vorwärts-Wacker 04
Their league position
TSV Sasel
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
14º
40
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dassendorf
82
82
0%
Altona 93
82
82
0%
Eimsbütteler TV
70
70
0%
Paloma Hamburg
70
70
0%
ETSV Hamburg
63
63
100%
Niendorfer TSV
61
61
100%
HEBC Hamburg
51
51
100%
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
50
50
100%
TSV Buchholz 08
46
46
100%
Süderelbe
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Victoria Hamburg
11º
41
41
11º
100%
TSV Sasel
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
13º
36
36
13º
100%
TuRa Harksheide
14º
35
35
14º
0%
Halstenbek-Rellingen
15º
35
35
15º
0%
Wandsbeker Concordia
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Alsterbruder
17º
25
25
17º
100%
 Hamburger SV III
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
TSV Sasel
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Vorwärts-Wacker 04
TSV Sasel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vorwärts-Wacker 04
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2024
EIM
Eimsbütteler TV
4 - 1
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
VOW
65%
19%
16%
36 47 11 0
19 Oct. 2024
VOW
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
1 - 1
TSV Buchholz 08
BUC
54%
19%
27%
36 37 1 0
12 Oct. 2024
VOW
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
2 - 1
Victoria Hamburg
VHG
34%
20%
46%
34 42 8 +2
06 Oct. 2024
ATB
Alsterbruder
2 - 4
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
VOW
28%
19%
53%
33 25 8 +1
28 Sep. 2024
VOW
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
1 - 3
TuRa Harksheide
THA
72%
14%
14%
35 29 6 -2

Matches

TSV Sasel
TSV Sasel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2024
SAS
TSV Sasel
1 - 1
Alsterbruder
ATB
83%
10%
7%
42 24 18 0
18 Oct. 2024
THA
TuRa Harksheide
1 - 1
TSV Sasel
SAS
17%
19%
64%
43 30 13 -1
13 Oct. 2024
SAS
TSV Sasel
2 - 1
Niendorfer TSV
NIE
42%
23%
36%
42 46 4 +1
06 Oct. 2024
HEB
HEBC Hamburg
2 - 2
TSV Sasel
SAS
36%
24%
41%
42 37 5 0
29 Sep. 2024
SAS
TSV Sasel
1 - 3
Altona 93
ALT
30%
23%
47%
43 52 9 -1