Oberliga Hamburg Round 6

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Niendorfer TSV analysis

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 Niendorfer TSV
52 ELO 60
40.5% Tilt 27.8%
5577º General ELO ranking 3825º
281º Country ELO ranking 167º
ELO win probability
35.1%
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
23.1%
Draw
41.8%
Niendorfer TSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
41.8%
Win probability
Niendorfer TSV
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
+50%
+49%
Niendorfer TSV

Points and table prediction

Vorwärts-Wacker 04
Their league position
Niendorfer TSV
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
11º
7
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dassendorf
6
82
79%
Eimsbütteler TV
9
66
23.5%
Niendorfer TSV
7
65
17.5%
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
11º
3
60
14%
Paloma Hamburg
4
59
14%
ETSV Hamburg
9
58
10.5%
Süderelbe
6
57
14%
TSV Sasel
6
54
11.5%
Victoria Hamburg
7
52
9.5%
Teutonia Ottensen
15º
3
51
10º
14.5%
TSV Buchholz 08
10º
3
48
11º
12.5%
HEBC Hamburg
18º
0
42
12º
14.5%
Halstenbek-Rellingen
6
41
13º
21.5%
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
16º
1
34
14º
14.5%
TuRa Harksheide
17º
0
30
15º
23.5%
HT 16 Hamburg
13º
3
27
16º
22%
Curslack-Neuengamme
14º
3
20
17º
32.5%
FK Nikola Tesla
12º
3
16
18º
56.5%
Expected probabilities
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
Niendorfer TSV
Promotion
1.5% 5.5%
Mid-table
98.5% 94.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Vorwärts-Wacker 04
Niendorfer TSV
TSV Buchholz 08
ETSV Hamburg
Victoria Hamburg
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vorwärts-Wacker 04
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2025
PAL
Paloma Hamburg
2 - 1
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
VOW
52%
22%
26%
52 56 4 0
03 Aug. 2025
VOW
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
2 - 5
Halstenbek-Rellingen
HAL
84%
10%
6%
52 39 13 0
26 Jul. 2025
OTT
Teutonia Ottensen
1 - 6
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
VOW
51%
22%
28%
51 53 2 +1
16 May. 2025
PAL
Paloma Hamburg
2 - 3
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
VOW
62%
20%
18%
50 57 7 +1
10 May. 2025
VOW
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
5 - 3
Süderelbe
SUD
42%
22%
36%
48 52 4 +2

Matches

Niendorfer TSV
Niendorfer TSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2025
NIE
Niendorfer TSV
1 - 1
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
WIL
77%
15%
8%
60 40 20 0
03 Aug. 2025
NIE
Niendorfer TSV
4 - 3
TSV Buchholz 08
BUC
63%
20%
17%
59 50 9 +1
27 Jul. 2025
PAL
Paloma Hamburg
0 - 3
Niendorfer TSV
NIE
43%
25%
33%
58 57 1 +1
16 May. 2025
HAL
Halstenbek-Rellingen
0 - 2
Niendorfer TSV
NIE
14%
21%
65%
58 40 18 0
10 May. 2025
NIE
Niendorfer TSV
0 - 2
Dassendorf
DAS
19%
22%
59%
58 70 12 0