Vorwarts Steyr vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vorwarts Steyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
GMU
1 - 0
VOR
13%
20%
68%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
EFE
0 - 4
VOR
11%
19%
70%
|
54 | 13 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
VOR
0 - 0
GRU
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
DON
2 - 2
VOR
12%
20%
68%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
VOR
2 - 1
ATS
86%
10%
4%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
RAP
3 - 1
STR
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
STR
2 - 0
WIN
53%
26%
22%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
KAP
0 - 4
STR
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
STR
0 - 1
RIE
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AUS
2 - 3
STR
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |