Vorup vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
76.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vorup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
HOB
1 - 1
VOR
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
VOR
1 - 2
HOL
18%
20%
63%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
VOR
0 - 2
IFL
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 5
VOR
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
VOR
1 - 1
LIF
17%
20%
64%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
AAF
4 - 1
BRA
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LIF
0 - 3
AAF
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AAF
2 - 1
RAN
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AAB
0 - 4
AAF
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
AAF
5 - 0
LYS
80%
13%
6%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |