Voluntas vs FiesoleCal... analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
4 - 0
VOL
59%
22%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
VOL
39%
24%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VOL
2 - 2
CAS
24%
23%
52%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
VOL
55%
23%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
VOL
0 - 0
SCA
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FiesoleCal...
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FIE
1 - 0
FLA
42%
25%
34%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FIE
2 - 0
BAS
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ARZ
0 - 0
FIE
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FIE
0 - 0
SPO
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
TOD
1 - 1
FIE
30%
25%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |