Voghera vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RAB
1 - 4
VOG
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ASD
4 - 1
VOG
49%
22%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VOG
3 - 0
VAO
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VOG
2 - 0
SET
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
VOG
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAR
23%
26%
51%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
AST
0 - 2
NOV
44%
27%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
BOR
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LAV
1 - 1
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 2
VAD
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |