Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 1-2
Vllaznia vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
VLZ
1 - 1
BIR
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
BIR
0 - 1
VLZ
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BYL
2 - 0
VLZ
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
VLZ
3 - 0
FLA
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
KFS
3 - 0
VLZ
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 0
THU
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
THU
3 - 1
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BAS
5 - 1
THU
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
NEX
1 - 4
THU
46%
25%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
THU
3 - 1
SIO
34%
27%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |