Vizela vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vizela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
TRO
0 - 0
VIZ
42%
28%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
VIZ
0 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BMA
0 - 3
VIZ
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
OLH
1 - 0
VIZ
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
VIZ
0 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 1
GFC
39%
29%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
FAT
1 - 2
VAR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 0
POR
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 3
GON
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
FEI
3 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |