National 3 Group H Round 8

Vitry vs Neuilly Sur Marne analysis

Vitry Neuilly Sur Marne
30 ELO 13
-4.2% Tilt -6.4%
41563º General ELO ranking 7619º
967º Country ELO ranking 250º
ELO win probability
84.1%
Vitry
10.5%
Draw
5.4%
Neuilly Sur Marne

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
Vitry
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.4%
Win probability
Neuilly Sur Marne
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitry
-11%
+32%
Neuilly Sur Marne

Points and table prediction

Vitry
Their league position
Neuilly Sur Marne
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
13º
13º
29
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Balagne
56
56
100%
St Geneviève
54
54
100%
Linas-Montlhery
45
45
100%
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
45
45
100%
Brétigny Foot
44
44
100%
Ivry
34
34
100%
Ajaccio II
33
33
100%
Orléans II
32
32
100%
Neuilly Sur Marne
29
29
100%
Bastia II
10º
27
27
10º
100%
Montrouge
11º
25
25
11º
100%
USM Saran
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Vitry
13º
23
23
13º
100%
Mainvilliers
14º
16
16
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vitry
Neuilly Sur Marne
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Vitry
Neuilly Sur Marne
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitry
Vitry
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
ORL
Orléans II
2 - 1
Vitry
VTR
38%
23%
40%
31 27 4 0
22 Oct. 2023
VTR
Vitry
3 - 0
Mainvilliers
MAI
82%
12%
7%
30 16 14 +1
07 Oct. 2023
ESA
Linas-Montlhery
1 - 1
Vitry
VTR
61%
19%
20%
30 37 7 0
23 Sep. 2023
VTR
Vitry
3 - 2
Montrouge
MFC
54%
21%
26%
29 27 2 +1
09 Sep. 2023
SML
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
2 - 0
Vitry
VTR
73%
16%
12%
30 44 14 -1

Matches

Neuilly Sur Marne
Neuilly Sur Marne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2023
NEU
Neuilly Sur Marne
1 - 4
Balagne
BAL
10%
16%
75%
14 42 28 0
22 Oct. 2023
BRE
Brétigny Foot
2 - 2
Neuilly Sur Marne
NEU
81%
13%
7%
13 34 21 +1
08 Oct. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio II
2 - 0
Neuilly Sur Marne
NEU
86%
10%
5%
13 41 28 0
23 Sep. 2023
NEU
Neuilly Sur Marne
0 - 0
Orléans II
ORL
11%
17%
72%
12 29 17 +1
10 Sep. 2023
MAI
Mainvilliers
2 - 2
Neuilly Sur Marne
NEU
33%
22%
46%
12 10 2 0