Vitré vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
4º
30
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
DIN
3 - 2
VIT
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 0
PLA
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPM
48%
22%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CES
2 - 1
VIT
23%
21%
56%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 2
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
USF
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PON
1 - 2
DIN
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPM
2 - 0
PON
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PON
3 - 0
CES
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
PON
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |