Vitré vs La Chataigneraie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
14º
4º
40
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 0
STL
8%
17%
75%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 2
VIT
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 2
NAN
39%
24%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VIT
8 - 0
BRE
77%
14%
9%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
La Chataigneraie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ASC
0 - 2
ESO
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
ASC
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
ASC
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 2
LAT
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 2
ASC
40%
22%
37%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |