Liga do Nordeste Semi-finals

Vitória vs CSA analysis

Vitória CSA
78 ELO 51
8.7% Tilt -9.3%
138º General ELO ranking 999º
17º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
84.9%
Vitória
11.3%
Draw
3.8%
CSA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
Vitória
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
3.8%
Win probability
CSA
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória
-12%
+2%
CSA

ELO progression

Vitória
CSA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2010
VIT
Vitória
1 - 1
Corinthians
COR
33%
27%
41%
78 86 8 0
17 Nov. 2010
VIT
Vitória
0 - 0
Treze
TRE
83%
12%
5%
78 54 24 0
14 Nov. 2010
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
28%
29%
43%
78 67 11 0
07 Nov. 2010
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
Cruzeiro
CRZ
31%
25%
45%
78 86 8 0
03 Nov. 2010
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
72%
17%
11%
78 85 7 0

Matches

CSA
CSA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2010
CSA
CSA
2 - 4
ABC
ABC
27%
25%
48%
51 64 13 0
12 Sep. 2010
CSA
CSA
2 - 2
Sampaio Correa
SAM
48%
26%
25%
51 54 3 0
05 Sep. 2010
SAM
Sampaio Correa
5 - 0
CSA
CSA
50%
26%
23%
53 54 1 -2
26 Aug. 2010
BOT
Botafogo PB
0 - 0
CSA
CSA
52%
24%
24%
53 54 1 0
22 Aug. 2010
CSA
CSA
1 - 2
Santa Cruz
SAN
55%
24%
21%
54 52 2 -1