Vitória Setúbal vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VST
1 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 0
VST
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BMA
2 - 3
VST
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VST
1 - 3
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 0
RIO
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SPB
2 - 1
UDL
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 3
OLH
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDL
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 0
BMA
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |