Vitória Setúbal vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
VST
2 - 0
EST
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SCP
2 - 0
VST
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
VST
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
VST
0 - 1
RIO
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 2
VST
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 0
SCP
23%
22%
55%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SCP
2 - 0
VST
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
SCP
1 - 0
ARO
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 1
SCP
17%
22%
61%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |