Vitória Setúbal vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
POR
5 - 2
VST
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
VST
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
VST
3 - 1
MAR
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 2
VST
8%
16%
76%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 1
VST
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 3
VIT
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 3
SLB
12%
22%
66%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
AVE
11%
19%
70%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
POR
2 - 2
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 0
RIO
24%
28%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |