Primeira Liga . Jor. 4

Vitória Setúbal vs Benfica analysis

Vitória Setúbal Benfica
73 ELO 87
4.1% Tilt -6.1%
4055º General ELO ranking 77º
63º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.7%
Vitória Setúbal
24.9%
Draw
52.4%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
Vitória Setúbal
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.4%
Win probability
Benfica
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória Setúbal
+20%
+9%
Benfica

ELO progression

Vitória Setúbal
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória Setúbal
Vitória Setúbal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2014
ACA
Académica
1 - 1
Vitória Setúbal
VST
37%
29%
35%
74 73 1 0
24 Aug. 2014
VST
Vitória Setúbal
2 - 0
Gil Vicente
GFC
58%
24%
19%
74 68 6 0
17 Aug. 2014
RIO
Rio Ave
2 - 0
Vitória Setúbal
VST
47%
27%
26%
74 77 3 0
06 Aug. 2014
VST
Vitória Setúbal
0 - 1
Wydad Casablanca
WYD
57%
24%
19%
73 72 1 +1
02 Aug. 2014
SUN
Sunderland
0 - 0
Vitória Setúbal
VST
61%
23%
16%
73 82 9 0

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2014
SLB
Benfica
1 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
54%
23%
23%
88 86 2 0
24 Aug. 2014
BOA
Boavista
0 - 1
Benfica
SLB
7%
19%
75%
88 48 40 0
17 Aug. 2014
SLB
Benfica
2 - 0
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
75%
16%
9%
88 75 13 0
10 Aug. 2014
SLB
Benfica
0 - 0
Rio Ave
RIO
78%
15%
7%
88 76 12 0
03 Aug. 2014
SLB
Benfica
1 - 3
Valencia
VCF
52%
24%
23%
88 88 0 0
X